Single poll

Forsa poll of 23 August 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Stern / RTL
Fieldwork period
14 to 18 Aug 2017
Respondents
2,501
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU38.0%-1.0
  • SPD24.0%+1.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Grüne7.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Aug 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 14 to 18 Aug 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Aug 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Aug 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.0average 8.0
  • CDU/CSU -0.8average 38.8
  • FDP -0.5average 8.5
  • Grüne -0.5average 7.5
  • Linke +0.3average 8.7
  • SPD -0.2average 24.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 252 seatsSPD: 159 seatsLinke: 60 seatsAfD: 60 seatsFDP: 53 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU252
  • SPD159
  • Linke60
  • AfD60
  • FDP53
  • Grüne46
  • CDU/CSU + SPD411 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD372 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne351 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.