Single poll

Forsa poll of 30 August 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Stern / RTL
Fieldwork period
21 to 25 Aug 2017
Respondents
2,503
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU38.0%±0
  • SPD24.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Grüne7.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 23 Aug 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 21 to 25 Aug 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 23 Aug 2017, no party moves by more than one point.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Aug 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +0.9average 23.1
  • FDP -0.8average 8.8
  • Grüne -0.5average 7.5
  • AfD +0.3average 8.7
  • CDU/CSU -0.1average 38.1
  • Linke ±0average 9.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 252 seatsSPD: 159 seatsLinke: 60 seatsAfD: 60 seatsFDP: 53 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU252
  • SPD159
  • Linke60
  • AfD60
  • FDP53
  • Grüne46
  • CDU/CSU + SPD411 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD372 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne351 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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