Single poll

Forsa poll of 16 August 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Stern / RTL
Fieldwork period
7 to 11 Aug 2017
Respondents
2,507
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU39.0%-1.0
  • SPD23.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%±0
  • Others5.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Aug 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 2,507 people were surveyed from 7 to 11 Aug 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Aug 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Aug 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.2average 24.2
  • Grüne +0.7average 7.3
  • FDP -0.5average 8.5
  • CDU/CSU +0.3average 38.7
  • Linke +0.2average 8.8
  • AfD -0.2average 8.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 259 seatsSPD: 152 seatsLinke: 60 seatsFDP: 53 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsAfD: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU259
  • SPD152
  • Linke60
  • FDP53
  • Grüne53
  • AfD53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD411 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke319 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD365 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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