Forsa poll of 9 August 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Stern / RTL
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Jul 2017 to 4 Aug 2017
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU40.0%±0
- SPD23.0%+1.0
- Grüne8.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- AfD8.0%±0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Aug 2017.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 40.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 31 Jul 2017 to 4 Aug 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Aug 2017, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 1.5 points higher and FDP 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Aug 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.5average 38.5
- FDP -1.5average 8.5
- SPD -1.2average 24.2
- Linke -1.0average 9.0
- Grüne +0.4average 7.6
- AfD ±0average 8.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU268
- SPD154
- Grüne54
- Linke54
- AfD53
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + SPD422 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.