Single poll

Forsa poll of 28 June 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Stern / RTL
Fieldwork period
19 to 23 Jun 2017
Respondents
2,502
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU40.0%+1.0
  • SPD23.0%±0
  • Grüne9.0%+1.0
  • Linke9.0%-1.0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • AfD7.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 21 Jun 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 40.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 19 to 23 Jun 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 21 Jun 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 1.7 points higher and FDP 1.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Jun 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.7average 38.3
  • FDP -1.7average 8.7
  • SPD -1.5average 24.5
  • Grüne +1.5average 7.5
  • AfD -0.8average 7.8
  • Linke +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 265 seatsSPD: 153 seatsGrüne: 60 seatsLinke: 60 seatsFDP: 46 seatsAfD: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU265
  • SPD153
  • Grüne60
  • Linke60
  • FDP46
  • AfD46
  • CDU/CSU + SPD418 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD357 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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