Single poll

Forsa poll of 21 June 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Stern / RTL
Fieldwork period
12 to 16 Jun 2017
Respondents
2,505
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU39.0%+1.0
  • SPD23.0%-1.0
  • Linke10.0%+2.0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • AfD7.0%±0
  • Others5.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 Jun 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 12 to 16 Jun 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 Jun 2017, Linke gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Jun 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.6average 24.6
  • AfD -1.4average 8.4
  • CDU/CSU +1.1average 37.9
  • Linke +1.1average 8.9
  • Grüne +0.6average 7.4
  • FDP -0.5average 8.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 259 seatsSPD: 153 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 53 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsAfD: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU259
  • SPD153
  • Linke66
  • FDP53
  • Grüne53
  • AfD46
  • CDU/CSU + SPD412 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD358 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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