Single poll

Forsa poll of 5 July 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Stern / RTL
Fieldwork period
26 to 30 Jun 2017
Respondents
2,503
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU39.0%-1.0
  • SPD23.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • Grüne8.0%-1.0
  • AfD7.0%±0
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Jun 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 26 to 30 Jun 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Jun 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Jul 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.5average 24.5
  • AfD -0.8average 7.8
  • FDP -0.7average 8.7
  • Grüne +0.6average 7.4
  • CDU/CSU +0.3average 38.7
  • Linke +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 261 seatsSPD: 154 seatsLinke: 60 seatsFDP: 54 seatsGrüne: 54 seatsAfD: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU261
  • SPD154
  • Linke60
  • FDP54
  • Grüne54
  • AfD47
  • CDU/CSU + SPD415 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke321 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD362 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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