Single poll

Forsa poll of 10 May 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Stern / RTL
Fieldwork period
2 to 5 May 2017
Respondents
2,004
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU36.0%±0
  • SPD29.0%+1.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Grüne7.0%-1.0
  • AfD7.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 May 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 29.0%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 2 to 5 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 May 2017, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.9 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -1.9average 8.9
  • FDP +0.8average 6.2
  • Linke -0.7average 8.7
  • CDU/CSU +0.2average 35.8
  • Grüne -0.2average 7.2
  • SPD -0.1average 29.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 241 seatsSPD: 194 seatsLinke: 54 seatsFDP: 47 seatsGrüne: 47 seatsAfD: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU241
  • SPD194
  • Linke54
  • FDP47
  • Grüne47
  • AfD47
  • CDU/CSU + SPD435 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD335 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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