Single poll

Forsa poll of 3 May 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Stern / RTL
Fieldwork period
24 to 28 Apr 2017
Respondents
2,502
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU36.0%±0
  • SPD28.0%-2.0
  • Grüne8.0%+1.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%-1.0
  • FDP7.0%+1.0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Apr 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 28.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 24 to 28 Apr 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Apr 2017, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 1.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.8average 29.8
  • AfD -1.0average 9.0
  • FDP +1.0average 6.0
  • CDU/CSU +0.7average 35.3
  • Grüne +0.7average 7.3
  • Linke -0.7average 8.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 239 seatsSPD: 186 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsLinke: 53 seatsAfD: 53 seatsFDP: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU239
  • SPD186
  • Grüne53
  • Linke53
  • AfD53
  • FDP46
  • CDU/CSU + SPD425 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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