Single poll

Forsa poll of 26 April 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Stern / RTL
Fieldwork period
18 to 21 Apr 2017
Respondents
2,002
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU36.0%±0
  • SPD30.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%+1.0
  • Linke8.0%-1.0
  • Grüne7.0%+1.0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 19 Apr 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 30.0%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 18 to 21 Apr 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 19 Apr 2017, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Apr 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.3average 34.7
  • SPD -0.9average 30.9
  • Linke -0.4average 8.4
  • AfD -0.2average 9.2
  • FDP +0.2average 5.8
  • Grüne ±0average 7.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 236 seatsSPD: 197 seatsAfD: 59 seatsLinke: 53 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsFDP: 39 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU236
  • SPD197
  • AfD59
  • Linke53
  • Grüne46
  • FDP39
  • CDU/CSU + SPD433 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP334 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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