Single poll

Forsa poll of 19 April 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Stern / RTL
Fieldwork period
10 to 13 Apr 2017
Respondents
2,007
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU36.0%±0
  • SPD30.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%+1.0
  • AfD8.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Grüne6.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Apr 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 30.0%. 2,007 people were surveyed from 10 to 13 Apr 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Apr 2017, Linke gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Apr 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.6average 34.4
  • AfD -1.3average 9.3
  • Grüne -1.3average 7.3
  • SPD -1.1average 31.1
  • Linke +0.8average 8.2
  • FDP +0.1average 5.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 238 seatsSPD: 199 seatsLinke: 60 seatsAfD: 53 seatsFDP: 40 seatsGrüne: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU238
  • SPD199
  • Linke60
  • AfD53
  • FDP40
  • Grüne40
  • CDU/CSU + SPD437 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP331 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne331 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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