Single poll

Forsa poll of 11 April 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Stern / RTL
Fieldwork period
3 to 7 Apr 2017
Respondents
2,502
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU36.0%±0
  • SPD30.0%+1.0
  • Linke8.0%-1.0
  • AfD8.0%±0
  • Grüne7.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%+1.0
  • Others5.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Apr 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 30.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 3 to 7 Apr 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Apr 2017, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.0 points higher and SPD 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Apr 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +2.0average 34.0
  • SPD -1.6average 31.6
  • AfD -1.3average 9.3
  • Grüne -0.4average 7.4
  • FDP +0.3average 5.7
  • Linke ±0average 8.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 239 seatsSPD: 199 seatsLinke: 53 seatsAfD: 53 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsFDP: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU239
  • SPD199
  • Linke53
  • AfD53
  • Grüne46
  • FDP40
  • CDU/CSU + SPD438 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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