Forsa poll of 4 April 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Stern / RTL
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 31 Mar 2017
- Respondents
- 2,504
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU36.0%+2.0
- SPD29.0%-3.0
- Linke9.0%+1.0
- AfD8.0%+1.0
- Grüne7.0%±0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 29 Mar 2017.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 29.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 27 to 31 Mar 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 29 Mar 2017, SPD loses 3.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.9 points lower and CDU/CSU 2.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Apr 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.9average 31.9
- CDU/CSU +2.7average 33.3
- FDP -1.1average 6.1
- Linke +1.0average 8.0
- AfD -1.0average 9.0
- Grüne -0.4average 7.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU241
- SPD194
- Linke60
- AfD54
- Grüne47
- FDP34
- CDU/CSU + SPD435 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.