Single poll

Forsa poll of 17 May 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Stern / RTL
Fieldwork period
8 to 12 May 2017
Respondents
2,506
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU38.0%+2.0
  • SPD26.0%-3.0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • Grüne7.0%±0
  • AfD7.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 May 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 26.0%. 2,506 people were surveyed from 8 to 12 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 May 2017, SPD loses 3.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.0 points lower and AfD 1.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -2.0average 28.0
  • AfD -1.8average 8.8
  • CDU/CSU +1.3average 36.7
  • FDP +1.2average 6.8
  • Linke -0.5average 8.5
  • Grüne -0.2average 7.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 254 seatsSPD: 174 seatsFDP: 54 seatsLinke: 54 seatsGrüne: 47 seatsAfD: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU254
  • SPD174
  • FDP54
  • Linke54
  • Grüne47
  • AfD47
  • CDU/CSU + SPD428 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD348 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.