Forsa poll of 15 March 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Stern / RTL
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 10 Mar 2017
- Respondents
- 2,505
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%±0
- SPD32.0%±0
- AfD9.0%+1.0
- Grüne7.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Mar 2017.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 32.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 6 to 10 Mar 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Mar 2017, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Mar 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.3average 30.7
- AfD -1.3average 10.3
- Linke -1.2average 8.2
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 32.5
- Grüne -0.5average 7.5
- FDP -0.2average 6.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU221
- SPD215
- AfD60
- Grüne47
- Linke47
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + SPD436 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke328 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne322 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Linke322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.