Single poll

Forsa poll of 8 March 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Stern / RTL
Fieldwork period
27 Feb 2017 to 3 Mar 2017
Respondents
2,502
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%±0
  • SPD32.0%+1.0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%-1.0
  • Linke7.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Mar 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 32.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 27 Feb 2017 to 3 Mar 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Mar 2017, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Mar 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -2.5average 10.5
  • SPD +1.4average 30.6
  • Linke -1.0average 8.0
  • CDU/CSU +0.7average 32.3
  • FDP -0.4average 6.4
  • Grüne +0.3average 7.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 221 seatsSPD: 214 seatsGrüne: 54 seatsAfD: 54 seatsLinke: 47 seatsFDP: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU221
  • SPD214
  • Grüne54
  • AfD54
  • Linke47
  • FDP40
  • CDU/CSU + SPD435 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD329 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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