Forsa poll of 1 March 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Stern / RTL
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 24 Feb 2017
- Respondents
- 2,500
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%-1.0
- SPD31.0%±0
- AfD9.0%+1.0
- Grüne8.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Feb 2017.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 31.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 20 to 24 Feb 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Feb 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Mar 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.4average 10.4
- Linke -1.3average 8.3
- FDP +0.9average 6.1
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 32.3
- SPD +0.5average 30.5
- Grüne +0.4average 7.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU219
- SPD206
- AfD60
- Grüne53
- FDP46
- Linke46
- CDU/CSU + SPD425 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke325 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.