Single poll

Forsa poll of 22 February 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Stern / RTL
Fieldwork period
13 to 17 Feb 2017
Respondents
2,502
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.0%±0
  • SPD31.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%-1.0
  • Grüne7.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%+1.0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Feb 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 31.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 13 to 17 Feb 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Feb 2017, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Feb 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -2.7average 10.7
  • CDU/CSU +1.3average 32.7
  • SPD +1.2average 29.8
  • Grüne -0.8average 7.8
  • Linke -0.3average 8.3
  • FDP ±0average 6.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 228 seatsSPD: 207 seatsLinke: 54 seatsAfD: 54 seatsGrüne: 47 seatsFDP: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU228
  • SPD207
  • Linke54
  • AfD54
  • Grüne47
  • FDP40
  • CDU/CSU + SPD435 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD336 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne329 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne329 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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