Forsa poll of 15 February 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Stern / RTL
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 10 Feb 2017
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU34.0%±0
- SPD31.0%±0
- AfD9.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Grüne7.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Others6.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Feb 2017.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 31.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 5 to 10 Feb 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Feb 2017, AfD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.5 points lower and SPD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Feb 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.5average 11.5
- SPD +2.0average 29.0
- CDU/CSU +1.2average 32.8
- Linke -0.8average 8.8
- FDP -0.8average 5.8
- Grüne -0.7average 7.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU228
- SPD208
- AfD60
- Linke54
- Grüne47
- FDP33
- CDU/CSU + SPD436 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne329 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Linke322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.