Forsa poll of 8 February 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Stern / RTL
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Jan 2017 to 3 Feb 2017
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU34.0%-1.0
- SPD31.0%+5.0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- Grüne8.0%±0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Feb 2017.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 31.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 30 Jan 2017 to 3 Feb 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Feb 2017, SPD gains 5.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 4.0 points higher and AfD 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Feb 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +4.0average 27.0
- AfD -1.7average 11.7
- Linke -1.1average 9.1
- FDP -0.9average 5.9
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 33.5
- Grüne -0.4average 8.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU223
- SPD203
- AfD66
- Grüne53
- Linke52
- FDP33
- CDU/CSU + SPD426 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne322 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Linke321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.