Forsa poll of 1 February 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Stern / RTL
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 27 Jan 2017
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU35.0%-2.0
- SPD26.0%+5.0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Grüne8.0%-2.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Jan 2017.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by SPD on 26.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 23 to 27 Jan 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Jan 2017, SPD gains 5.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Feb 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.3average 23.7
- AfD -1.4average 12.4
- Grüne -1.0average 9.0
- Linke -0.6average 9.6
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 35.1
- FDP ±0average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU232
- SPD172
- AfD73
- Linke60
- Grüne53
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + SPD404 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.