Single poll

Forsa poll of 25 January 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Stern / RTL
Fieldwork period
16 to 20 Jan 2017
Respondents
2,504
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU37.0%-1.0
  • SPD21.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%+1.0
  • Grüne10.0%+1.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others5.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Jan 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 16 to 20 Jan 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Jan 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.7 points higher and Linke 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jan 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +2.7average 34.3
  • Linke -2.0average 11.0
  • AfD -1.3average 13.3
  • Grüne +1.2average 8.8
  • FDP -0.8average 6.8
  • SPD ±0average 21.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 245 seatsSPD: 139 seatsAfD: 80 seatsGrüne: 66 seatsLinke: 60 seatsFDP: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU245
  • SPD139
  • AfD80
  • Grüne66
  • Linke60
  • FDP40
  • CDU/CSU + SPD384 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP345 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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