Single poll

Forsa poll of 22 March 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Stern / RTL
Fieldwork period
13 to 17 Mar 2017
Respondents
2,504
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.0%+1.0
  • SPD31.0%-1.0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Grüne7.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Mar 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 31.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 13 to 17 Mar 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Mar 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 1.5 points higher and AfD 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Mar 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.5average 32.5
  • AfD -1.5average 10.5
  • Linke -1.2average 8.2
  • Grüne -0.6average 7.6
  • SPD +0.2average 30.8
  • FDP ±0average 6.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 228 seatsSPD: 208 seatsAfD: 60 seatsGrüne: 47 seatsLinke: 47 seatsFDP: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU228
  • SPD208
  • AfD60
  • Grüne47
  • Linke47
  • FDP40
  • CDU/CSU + SPD436 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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