Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 May 2023 for the Bremen state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Apr 2023 to 4 May 2023
- Respondents
- 1,024
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD30.0%+5.5
- CDU27.0%+1.0
- Grüne13.0%-5.0
- Linke9.0%-3.0
- BD9.0%+6.0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 May 2019.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU on 27.0%. 1,024 people were surveyed from 27 Apr 2023 to 4 May 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 May 2019, BD gains 6.0 points, SPD gains 5.5 points, Grüne loses 5.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 5 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.5average 14.5
- BD +1.2average 7.8
- Linke +1.0average 8.0
- SPD -0.7average 30.7
- CDU -0.7average 27.7
- FDP -0.3average 6.3
Seat projection from this poll
87 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold applied separately in Bremen and Bremerhaven.
- SPD28
- CDU25
- Grüne12
- Linke8
- BD8
- FDP6
- SPD + CDU53 of 87
- SPD + Grüne + Linke48 of 87
- SPD + Grüne + BD48 of 87
- SPD + Grüne + FDP46 of 87
- CDU + Grüne + Linke45 of 87
- CDU + Grüne + BD45 of 87
- SPD + Linke + BD44 of 87
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.