Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 May 2023 for the Bremen state election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
10 to 11 May 2023
Respondents
1,088
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD29.0%-1.0
  • CDU26.0%-1.0
  • Grüne13.0%±0
  • Linke11.0%+2.0
  • BD10.0%+1.0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others5.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 May 2023.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU on 26.0%. 1,088 people were surveyed from 10 to 11 May 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 May 2023, Linke gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Linke 2.0 points higher and BD 1.8 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 11 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +2.0average 9.0
  • BD +1.8average 8.2
  • SPD -1.7average 30.7
  • CDU -1.0average 27.0
  • Grüne -0.5average 13.5
  • FDP ±0average 6.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

87 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold applied separately in Bremen and Bremerhaven.

SPD: 27 seatsCDU: 24 seatsGrüne: 12 seatsLinke: 10 seatsBD: 9 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 4487of 87 seats
  • SPD27
  • CDU24
  • Grüne12
  • Linke10
  • BD9
  • FDP5
  • SPD + CDU51 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke49 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne + BD48 of 87
  • SPD + Linke + BD46 of 87
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke46 of 87
  • CDU + Grüne + BD45 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP44 of 87
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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