Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 May 2019 for the Bremen state election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
20 to 23 May 2019
Respondents
1,664
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU26.0%±0
  • SPD24.5%±0
  • Grüne18.0%±0
  • Linke12.0%±0
  • AfD7.0%-1.0
  • FDP5.0%-0.5
  • BD3.0%±0
  • Others4.5%+1.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 16 May 2019.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 24.5%. 1,664 people were surveyed from 20 to 23 May 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 16 May 2019, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 23 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -1.5average 27.5
  • SPD +1.0average 23.5
  • AfD +1.0average 6.0
  • Linke +0.5average 11.5
  • FDP -0.5average 5.5
  • BD +0.5average 2.5
  • Grüne ±0average 18.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

87 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold applied separately in Bremen and Bremerhaven.

CDU: 24 seatsSPD: 23 seatsGrüne: 17 seatsLinke: 11 seatsAfD: 7 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 4487of 87 seats
  • CDU24
  • SPD23
  • Grüne17
  • Linke11
  • AfD7
  • FDP5
  • CDU + SPD47 of 87
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke52 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke51 of 87
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD48 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD47 of 87
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP46 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP45 of 87
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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