Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 16 May 2019 for the Bremen state election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
13 to 15 May 2019
Respondents
1,021
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU26.0%±0
  • SPD24.5%-1.5
  • Grüne18.0%-2.0
  • Linke12.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%+2.0
  • FDP5.5%-1.5
  • BD3.0%
  • Others3.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 Sep 2018.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 24.5%. 1,021 people were surveyed from 13 to 15 May 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 Sep 2018, Grüne loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.5 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 16 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.5average 6.5
  • Grüne -0.5average 18.5
  • Linke +0.5average 11.5
  • FDP -0.5average 6.0
  • BD +0.5average 2.5
  • CDU ±0average 26.0
  • SPD ±0average 24.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

87 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold applied separately in Bremen and Bremerhaven.

CDU: 24 seatsSPD: 23 seatsGrüne: 17 seatsLinke: 11 seatsAfD: 7 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 4487of 87 seats
  • CDU24
  • SPD23
  • Grüne17
  • Linke11
  • AfD7
  • FDP5
  • CDU + SPD47 of 87
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke52 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke51 of 87
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD48 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD47 of 87
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP46 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP45 of 87
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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