Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 29 March 2022 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 29 Mar 2022
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Online
- SPD29.0%-3.0
- AfD20.0%+0.5
- CDU15.0%+6.0
- Grüne11.0%+1.5
- BVB/FW8.0%-1.5
- Linke6.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%-2.0
- Others6.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 16 Oct 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 21 to 29 Mar 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 16 Oct 2021, CDU gains 6.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Linke 4.0 points lower and AfD 3.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -4.0average 10.0
- AfD +3.0average 17.0
- SPD -2.0average 31.0
- CDU +1.5average 13.5
- Grüne +1.5average 9.5
- FDP -1.5average 6.5
- BVB/FW +0.5average 7.5
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- SPD27
- AfD19
- CDU14
- Grüne10
- BVB/FW7
- Linke6
- FDP5
- SPD + AfD46 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Grüne51 of 88
- SPD + CDU + BVB/FW48 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Linke47 of 88
- SPD + CDU + FDP46 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.