Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 10 October 2020 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- Märkische Oderzeitung (MOZ)
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Sep 2020 to 7 Oct 2020
- Respondents
- 1,089
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD23.0%
- AfD19.0%
- CDU17.0%
- Grüne13.5%
- Linke12.5%
- BVB/FW7.5%
- FDP2.0%
- Others5.5%
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 23.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,089 people were surveyed from 30 Sep 2020 to 7 Oct 2020, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Märkische Oderzeitung (MOZ).
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 2.5 points lower and BVB/FW 2.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Oct 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.5average 16.0
- BVB/FW +2.5average 5.0
- SPD +2.0average 21.0
- FDP -2.0average 4.0
- AfD -1.0average 20.0
- Linke -0.5average 13.0
- CDU ±0average 17.0
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- SPD22
- AfD18
- CDU16
- Grüne13
- Linke12
- BVB/FW7
- SPD + AfD + CDU56 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Grüne53 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Linke52 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Grüne51 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Linke50 of 88
- SPD + AfD + BVB/FW47 of 88
- SPD + Grüne + Linke47 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne47 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Linke46 of 88
- SPD + CDU + BVB/FW45 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.