INSA poll of 20 March 2026 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- Märkische Allgemeine Zeitung (MAZ) / Märkische Oderzeitung (MOZ) / Lausitzer Rundschau (LR)
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 18 Mar 2026
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- AfD34.0%±0
- SPD24.0%-1.0
- CDU14.0%+1.0
- BSW8.0%±0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- Grüne5.0%±0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Jan 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 11 to 18 Mar 2026, method Online, commissioned by Märkische Allgemeine Zeitung (MAZ) / Märkische Oderzeitung (MOZ) / Lausitzer Rundschau (LR).
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Jan 2026, SPD loses 1.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.0 points higher and Linke 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.0average 22.0
- Linke -2.0average 9.0
- AfD -1.0average 35.0
- BSW +1.0average 7.0
- CDU ±0average 14.0
- Grüne ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- AfD32
- SPD23
- CDU13
- BSW8
- Linke7
- Grüne5
- AfD + SPD55 of 88
- AfD + CDU45 of 88
- AfD + BSW + Linke47 of 88
- AfD + BSW + Grüne45 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.