INSA poll of 9 October 2026 for the Brandenburg state election
- State
- Brandenburg
- Commissioned by
- Märkische Allgemeine Zeitung (MAZ) / Märkische Oderzeitung (MOZ) / Lausitzer Rundschau (LR)
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Sep 2026 to 6 Oct 2026
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 40.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 29 Sep 2026 to 6 Oct 2026, method Online, commissioned by Märkische Allgemeine Zeitung (MAZ) / Märkische Oderzeitung (MOZ) / Lausitzer Rundschau (LR).
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Mar 2026, AfD gains 6.0 points, CDU loses 5.0 points, SPD loses 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 3.0 points higher and Linke 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Oct 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +3.0average 37.0
- Linke -3.0average 12.0
- CDU -3.0average 12.0
- BSW +3.0average 4.0
- SPD -2.0average 22.0
- Grüne +1.0average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- AfD38
- SPD19
- Linke9
- CDU8
- Grüne7
- BSW7
- AfD + SPD57 of 88
- AfD + Linke47 of 88
- AfD + CDU46 of 88
- AfD + Grüne45 of 88
- AfD + BSW45 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.