INSA poll of 6 August 2024 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- Nordkurier
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Jul 2024 to 5 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- AfD24.0%±0
- SPD20.0%+1.0
- CDU19.0%+1.0
- BSW17.0%±0
- Grüne5.0%-2.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- BVB/FW4.0%±0
- FDP2.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Jul 2024.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 24.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 29 Jul 2024 to 5 Aug 2024, method Online, commissioned by Nordkurier.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Jul 2024, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.5 points higher and AfD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.5average 17.5
- AfD -2.0average 26.0
- CDU +1.2average 17.8
- Linke +1.2average 3.8
- Grüne -1.0average 6.0
- BSW +0.5average 16.5
- BVB/FW -0.3average 4.3
- FDP -0.3average 2.3
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- AfD23
- SPD19
- CDU19
- BSW17
- Grüne5
- Linke5
- AfD + SPD + CDU61 of 88
- AfD + SPD + BSW59 of 88
- AfD + CDU + BSW59 of 88
- SPD + CDU + BSW55 of 88
- AfD + SPD + Grüne47 of 88
- AfD + SPD + Linke47 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne47 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Linke47 of 88
- AfD + BSW + Grüne45 of 88
- AfD + BSW + Linke45 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.