INSA poll of 3 April 2024 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- CDU Brandenburg
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 22 Mar 2024
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- AfD25.0%-3.0
- SPD19.0%+2.0
- CDU19.0%+1.0
- BSW12.0%-1.0
- Grüne8.0%±0
- Linke7.0%+1.0
- BVB/FW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others3.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Jan 2024.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 14 to 22 Mar 2024, method Online, commissioned by CDU Brandenburg.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Jan 2024, AfD loses 3.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 8.0 points higher and AfD 7.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Apr 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +8.0average 4.0
- AfD -7.0average 32.0
- SPD -4.0average 23.0
- CDU +3.2average 15.8
- BVB/FW -1.7average 5.7
- Grüne +0.8average 7.2
- FDP -0.2average 3.2
- Linke ±0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- AfD24
- SPD19
- CDU18
- BSW12
- Grüne8
- Linke7
- AfD + SPD + CDU61 of 88
- AfD + SPD + BSW55 of 88
- AfD + CDU + BSW54 of 88
- AfD + SPD + Grüne51 of 88
- AfD + SPD + Linke50 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne50 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Linke49 of 88
- SPD + CDU + BSW49 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Grüne45 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.