Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 10 April 2024 for the Brandenburg state election

Commissioned by
RBB Brandenburg aktuell / Antenne Brandenburg
Fieldwork period
4 to 8 Apr 2024
Respondents
1,161
Method
Telefon & Online
  • AfD26.0%-6.0
  • SPD22.0%+2.0
  • CDU18.0%±0
  • BSW10.0%
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%-2.0
  • BVB/FW3.0%-3.0
  • Others7.0%+3.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 13 Sep 2023.

In this poll Infratest dimap has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,161 people were surveyed from 4 to 8 Apr 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by RBB Brandenburg aktuell / Antenne Brandenburg.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 13 Sep 2023, AfD loses 6.0 points, BVB/FW loses 3.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 2.0 points lower and BVB/FW 1.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Apr 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -2.0average 28.0
  • BVB/FW -1.8average 4.8
  • BSW +1.5average 8.5
  • SPD +1.3average 20.7
  • CDU +1.3average 16.7
  • Grüne +0.7average 7.3
  • Linke -0.2average 6.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.

AfD: 25 seatsSPD: 21 seatsCDU: 18 seatsBSW: 10 seatsGrüne: 8 seatsLinke: 6 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • AfD25
  • SPD21
  • CDU18
  • BSW10
  • Grüne8
  • Linke6
  • AfD + SPD46 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + BSW53 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Grüne51 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Linke49 of 88
  • SPD + CDU + BSW49 of 88
  • SPD + CDU + Grüne47 of 88
  • SPD + CDU + Linke45 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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