Infratest dimap poll of 11 July 2024 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- RBB Brandenburg aktuell / Antenne Brandenburg
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 9 Jul 2024
- Respondents
- 1,153
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD23.0%-3.0
- SPD19.0%-3.0
- CDU19.0%+1.0
- BSW16.0%+6.0
- Grüne7.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%-2.0
- FDP3.0%
- BVB/FW3.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 10 Apr 2024.
In this poll Infratest dimap has AfD ahead on 23.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,153 people were surveyed from 4 to 9 Jul 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by RBB Brandenburg aktuell / Antenne Brandenburg.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 10 Apr 2024, BSW gains 6.0 points, AfD loses 3.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 4.0 points lower and BVB/FW 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Jul 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -4.0average 27.0
- BVB/FW -2.3average 5.3
- SPD +1.5average 17.5
- CDU +1.2average 17.8
- BSW +1.0average 15.0
- Grüne +1.0average 6.0
- Linke -0.8average 4.8
- FDP +0.7average 2.3
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- AfD24
- SPD20
- CDU20
- BSW17
- Grüne7
- AfD + SPD + CDU64 of 88
- AfD + SPD + BSW61 of 88
- AfD + CDU + BSW61 of 88
- SPD + CDU + BSW57 of 88
- AfD + SPD + Grüne51 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne51 of 88
- AfD + BSW + Grüne48 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Grüne47 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.