Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 13 September 2023 for the Brandenburg state election

Commissioned by
RBB Brandenburg aktuell / Antenne Brandenburg
Fieldwork period
8 to 11 Sep 2023
Respondents
1,160
Method
Telefon & Online
  • AfD32.0%+9.0
  • SPD20.0%-2.0
  • CDU18.0%-5.0
  • Grüne8.0%-1.0
  • Linke8.0%+1.0
  • BVB/FW6.0%+1.0
  • FDP4.0%-1.0
  • Others4.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 26 Apr 2023.

In this poll Infratest dimap has AfD ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,160 people were surveyed from 8 to 11 Sep 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by RBB Brandenburg aktuell / Antenne Brandenburg.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 26 Apr 2023, AfD gains 9.0 points, CDU loses 5.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 4.7 points higher and SPD 3.3 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +4.7average 27.3
  • SPD -3.3average 23.3
  • Linke -2.0average 10.0
  • CDU +1.3average 16.7
  • FDP +1.0average 3.0
  • Grüne -0.7average 8.7
  • BVB/FW -0.7average 6.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.

AfD: 30 seatsSPD: 19 seatsCDU: 17 seatsGrüne: 8 seatsLinke: 8 seatsBVB/FW: 6 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • AfD30
  • SPD19
  • CDU17
  • Grüne8
  • Linke8
  • BVB/FW6
  • AfD + SPD49 of 88
  • AfD + CDU47 of 88
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke46 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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