Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 26 April 2023 for the Brandenburg state election

Commissioned by
RBB Brandenburg aktuell / Antenne Brandenburg
Fieldwork period
19 to 24 Apr 2023
Respondents
1,200
Method
Telefon & Online
  • AfD23.0%-1.0
  • CDU23.0%+5.0
  • SPD22.0%-2.0
  • Grüne9.0%-2.0
  • Linke7.0%-2.0
  • FDP5.0%+1.0
  • BVB/FW5.0%+1.0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 28 Sep 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has AfD ahead on 23.0%, followed by CDU on 23.0%. 1,200 people were surveyed from 19 to 24 Apr 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by RBB Brandenburg aktuell / Antenne Brandenburg.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 28 Sep 2022, CDU gains 5.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 5.3 points higher and Linke 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +5.3average 17.7
  • Linke -2.0average 9.0
  • SPD -1.8average 23.8
  • AfD -1.7average 24.7
  • FDP +0.7average 4.3
  • BVB/FW -0.5average 5.5
  • Grüne +0.3average 8.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.

SPD: 21 seatsAfD: 21 seatsCDU: 21 seatsGrüne: 8 seatsLinke: 7 seatsFDP: 5 seatsBVB/FW: 5 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • SPD21
  • AfD21
  • CDU21
  • Grüne8
  • Linke7
  • FDP5
  • BVB/FW5
  • SPD + AfD + CDU63 of 88
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne50 of 88
  • SPD + CDU + Grüne50 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Grüne50 of 88
  • SPD + AfD + Linke49 of 88
  • SPD + CDU + Linke49 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Linke49 of 88
  • SPD + AfD + FDP47 of 88
  • SPD + AfD + BVB/FW47 of 88
  • SPD + CDU + FDP47 of 88
  • SPD + CDU + BVB/FW47 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + FDP47 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + BVB/FW47 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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