Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 28 September 2022 for the Brandenburg state election

Commissioned by
RBB Brandenburg aktuell / Antenne Brandenburg
Fieldwork period
22 to 26 Sep 2022
Respondents
1,165
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD24.0%-6.0
  • AfD24.0%+5.0
  • CDU18.0%±0
  • Grüne11.0%+1.0
  • Linke9.0%+2.0
  • FDP4.0%-2.0
  • BVB/FW4.0%±0
  • Others6.0%+3.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 27 Apr 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 24.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,165 people were surveyed from 22 to 26 Sep 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by RBB Brandenburg aktuell / Antenne Brandenburg.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 27 Apr 2022, SPD loses 6.0 points, AfD gains 5.0 points, Linke gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 6.0 points higher and Linke 3.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +6.0average 12.0
  • Linke +3.0average 6.0
  • BVB/FW -3.0average 7.0
  • SPD -2.5average 26.5
  • AfD -1.0average 25.0
  • Grüne -1.0average 12.0
  • FDP -1.0average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.

SPD: 25 seatsAfD: 25 seatsCDU: 18 seatsGrüne: 11 seatsLinke: 9 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • SPD25
  • AfD25
  • CDU18
  • Grüne11
  • Linke9
  • SPD + AfD50 of 88
  • SPD + CDU + Grüne54 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Grüne54 of 88
  • SPD + CDU + Linke52 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Linke52 of 88
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke45 of 88
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke45 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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