Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 27 April 2022 for the Brandenburg state election

Commissioned by
RBB Brandenburg aktuell / Antenne Brandenburg
Fieldwork period
21 to 25 Apr 2022
Respondents
1,182
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD30.0%-4.0
  • AfD19.0%+2.0
  • CDU18.0%+5.0
  • Grüne10.0%+2.0
  • Linke7.0%-2.0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • BVB/FW4.0%-3.0
  • Tierschutzpartei3.0%
  • Others3.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 Sep 2021.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,182 people were surveyed from 21 to 25 Apr 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by RBB Brandenburg aktuell / Antenne Brandenburg.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 Sep 2021, CDU gains 5.0 points, SPD loses 4.0 points, BVB/FW loses 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has BVB/FW 4.0 points lower and CDU 3.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • BVB/FW -4.0average 8.0
  • CDU +3.5average 14.5
  • SPD +1.5average 28.5
  • Linke -1.5average 8.5
  • Grüne -1.0average 11.0
  • AfD +0.5average 18.5
  • FDP +0.5average 5.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.

SPD: 29 seatsAfD: 18 seatsCDU: 18 seatsGrüne: 10 seatsLinke: 7 seatsFDP: 6 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • SPD29
  • AfD18
  • CDU18
  • Grüne10
  • Linke7
  • FDP6
  • SPD + AfD47 of 88
  • SPD + CDU47 of 88
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke46 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Grüne46 of 88
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP45 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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