INSA poll of 14 April 2026 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD / B.Z.
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 14 Apr 2026
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU21.0%-1.0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- AfD17.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- Linke15.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Feb 2026.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 21.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 7 to 14 Apr 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD / B.Z..
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Feb 2026, CDU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.0 points higher and Linke 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Apr 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.0average 15.0
- Linke -2.0average 17.0
- CDU -1.5average 22.5
- AfD +0.5average 16.5
- Grüne -0.5average 15.5
- BSW +0.5average 3.5
- FDP ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU32
- SPD26
- AfD26
- Grüne23
- Linke23
- CDU + SPD + AfD84 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Grüne81 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Linke81 of 130
- CDU + AfD + Grüne81 of 130
- CDU + AfD + Linke81 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + Linke78 of 130
- SPD + AfD + Grüne75 of 130
- SPD + AfD + Linke75 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke72 of 130
- AfD + Grüne + Linke72 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.