INSA poll of 25 February 2026 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 24 Feb 2026
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU22.0%±0
- AfD17.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- Linke15.0%-2.0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Jan 2026.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 22.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 17 to 24 Feb 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Jan 2026, Linke loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 2.5 points lower and SPD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Feb 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -2.5average 17.5
- SPD +1.5average 14.5
- Grüne -1.5average 16.5
- FDP +1.0average 3.0
- BSW +1.0average 3.0
- AfD +0.5average 16.5
- CDU ±0average 22.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU34
- AfD26
- SPD24
- Grüne23
- Linke23
- CDU + AfD + SPD84 of 130
- CDU + AfD + Grüne83 of 130
- CDU + AfD + Linke83 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Grüne81 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Linke81 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + Linke80 of 130
- AfD + SPD + Grüne73 of 130
- AfD + SPD + Linke73 of 130
- AfD + Grüne + Linke72 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke70 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.