INSA poll of 7 November 2018 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 23 Oct 2018 to 2 Nov 2018
- Respondents
- 1,019
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- Grüne22.0%+4.0
- Linke17.0%±0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- CDU16.0%-2.0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Others7.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Jul 2018.
In this poll INSA has Grüne ahead on 22.0%, followed by Linke on 17.0%. 1,019 people were surveyed from 23 Oct 2018 to 2 Nov 2018, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Jul 2018, Grüne gains 4.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 4.0 points higher and Linke 3.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Nov 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +4.0average 18.0
- Linke -3.1average 20.1
- AfD +2.2average 12.8
- CDU -2.0average 18.0
- SPD -0.8average 16.8
- FDP ±0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Grüne31
- Linke24
- SPD22
- CDU22
- AfD21
- FDP10
- Grüne + Linke + SPD77 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + CDU77 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD76 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + CDU75 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + AfD74 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD74 of 130
- Linke + SPD + CDU68 of 130
- Linke + SPD + AfD67 of 130
- Linke + CDU + AfD67 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.