INSA poll of 18 July 2018 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- B.Z.
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 16 Jul 2018
- Respondents
- 1,012
- Method
- Unbekannt
- Grüne18.0%+1.0
- CDU18.0%-1.0
- SPD17.0%-2.0
- Linke17.0%-2.0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Die PARTEI4.0%+2.0
- Others5.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Apr 2018.
In this poll INSA has Grüne ahead on 18.0%, followed by CDU on 18.0%. 1,012 people were surveyed from 9 to 16 Jul 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by B.Z..
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Apr 2018, SPD loses 2.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, Die PARTEI gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 3.5 points lower and AfD 2.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jul 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -3.5average 20.5
- AfD +2.7average 11.3
- Grüne +1.9average 16.1
- CDU -1.8average 19.8
- SPD -0.9average 17.9
- FDP -0.3average 7.3
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Grüne26
- CDU26
- SPD24
- Linke24
- AfD20
- FDP10
- Grüne + CDU + SPD76 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + Linke76 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + Linke74 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Linke74 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD72 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + AfD70 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD70 of 130
- CDU + SPD + AfD70 of 130
- CDU + Linke + AfD70 of 130
- SPD + Linke + AfD68 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.