Single poll

INSA poll of 14 April 2018 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
B.Z.
Fieldwork period
3 to 9 Apr 2018
Respondents
1,039
Method
Unbekannt
  • SPD19.0%
  • Linke19.0%
  • CDU19.0%
  • Grüne17.0%
  • AfD13.0%
  • FDP8.0%
  • Die PARTEI2.0%
  • Others3.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 19.0%, followed by Linke on 19.0%. 1,039 people were surveyed from 3 to 9 Apr 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by B.Z..

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 1.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Apr 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -1.8average 20.8
  • AfD +1.4average 11.6
  • FDP +1.1average 6.9
  • Linke +1.0average 18.0
  • Grüne +0.5average 16.5
  • SPD -0.4average 19.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

SPD: 26 seatsLinke: 26 seatsCDU: 26 seatsGrüne: 23 seatsAfD: 18 seatsFDP: 11 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • SPD26
  • Linke26
  • CDU26
  • Grüne23
  • AfD18
  • FDP11
  • SPD + Linke + CDU78 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + Grüne75 of 130
  • SPD + CDU + Grüne75 of 130
  • Linke + CDU + Grüne75 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + AfD70 of 130
  • SPD + CDU + AfD70 of 130
  • Linke + CDU + AfD70 of 130
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD67 of 130
  • Linke + Grüne + AfD67 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD67 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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