Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 2 February 2023 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
ARD
Fieldwork period
30 Jan 2023 to 1 Feb 2023
Respondents
1,540
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU25.0%+2.0
  • SPD19.0%+1.0
  • Grüne18.0%-3.0
  • Linke12.0%+1.0
  • AfD10.0%-1.0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others10.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 18 Jan 2023.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,540 people were surveyed from 30 Jan 2023 to 1 Feb 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 18 Jan 2023, Grüne loses 3.0 points, CDU gains 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 3.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +3.0average 22.0
  • Grüne -1.3average 19.3
  • AfD -0.8average 10.8
  • SPD -0.7average 19.7
  • Linke -0.2average 12.2
  • FDP -0.2average 6.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

CDU: 36 seatsSPD: 28 seatsGrüne: 26 seatsLinke: 17 seatsAfD: 14 seatsFDP: 9 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • CDU36
  • SPD28
  • Grüne26
  • Linke17
  • AfD14
  • FDP9
  • CDU + SPD + Grüne90 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + Linke81 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke79 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + AfD78 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD76 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + FDP73 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP71 of 130
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke71 of 130
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD68 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + AfD67 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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