Infratest dimap poll of 18 October 2023 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- RBB / Berliner Morgenpost
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 16 Oct 2023
- Respondents
- 1,159
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU29.0%+4.0
- Grüne19.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%-4.0
- AfD15.0%+5.0
- Linke10.0%-2.0
- FDP4.0%-2.0
- Others8.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 Feb 2023.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,159 people were surveyed from 12 to 16 Oct 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by RBB / Berliner Morgenpost.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 Feb 2023, AfD gains 5.0 points, CDU gains 4.0 points, SPD loses 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 3.7 points higher and Linke 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Oct 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +3.7average 25.3
- Linke -1.8average 11.8
- Grüne +1.7average 17.3
- SPD -1.5average 16.5
- FDP -0.5average 4.5
- AfD ±0average 15.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU43
- Grüne28
- SPD22
- AfD22
- Linke15
- CDU + Grüne71 of 130
- CDU + SPD + AfD87 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Linke80 of 130
- CDU + AfD + Linke80 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + AfD72 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.