Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 18 January 2023 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
RBB / Berliner Morgenpost
Fieldwork period
12 to 16 Jan 2023
Respondents
1,162
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU23.0%+2.0
  • Grüne21.0%-1.0
  • SPD18.0%-1.0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • AfD11.0%+1.0
  • FDP6.0%+1.0
  • Others10.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 23 Nov 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 23.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,162 people were surveyed from 12 to 16 Jan 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by RBB / Berliner Morgenpost.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 23 Nov 2022, CDU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 1.7 points higher and SPD 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.7average 19.3
  • SPD -1.5average 19.5
  • CDU +1.2average 21.8
  • Linke -1.2average 12.2
  • FDP +0.3average 5.7
  • AfD ±0average 11.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

CDU: 33 seatsGrüne: 30 seatsSPD: 26 seatsLinke: 16 seatsAfD: 16 seatsFDP: 9 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • CDU33
  • Grüne30
  • SPD26
  • Linke16
  • AfD16
  • FDP9
  • CDU + Grüne + SPD89 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke79 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD79 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + Linke75 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + AfD75 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP72 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke72 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD72 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + FDP68 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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