Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 23 November 2022 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
RBB / Berliner Morgenpost
Fieldwork period
17 to 21 Nov 2022
Respondents
1,179
Method
Telefon & Online
  • Grüne22.0%±0
  • CDU21.0%±0
  • SPD19.0%+2.0
  • Linke11.0%-1.0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%-1.0
  • Others12.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 21 Sep 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has Grüne ahead on 22.0%, followed by CDU on 21.0%. 1,179 people were surveyed from 17 to 21 Nov 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by RBB / Berliner Morgenpost.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 21 Sep 2022, SPD gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 2.7 points higher and Linke 2.3 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.7average 19.3
  • Linke -2.3average 13.3
  • FDP -1.8average 6.8
  • CDU +1.2average 19.8
  • AfD -1.0average 11.0
  • SPD -0.3average 19.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

Grüne: 33 seatsCDU: 31 seatsSPD: 28 seatsLinke: 16 seatsAfD: 15 seatsFDP: 7 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • Grüne33
  • CDU31
  • SPD28
  • Linke16
  • AfD15
  • FDP7
  • Grüne + CDU + SPD92 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + Linke80 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + AfD79 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke77 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD76 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + Linke75 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + AfD74 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + FDP71 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP68 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + FDP66 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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