Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 28 April 2021 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
RBB / Berliner Morgenpost
Fieldwork period
20 to 24 Apr 2021
Respondents
1,162
Method
Telefon & Online
  • Grüne27.0%+4.0
  • CDU18.0%-4.0
  • SPD17.0%-1.0
  • Linke14.0%-1.0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%+1.0
  • Others8.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 24 Feb 2021.

In this poll Infratest dimap has Grüne ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU on 18.0%. 1,162 people were surveyed from 20 to 24 Apr 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by RBB / Berliner Morgenpost.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 24 Feb 2021, Grüne gains 4.0 points, CDU loses 4.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 4.5 points higher and SPD 3.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Apr 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +4.5average 22.5
  • SPD -3.0average 20.0
  • FDP -2.3average 9.3
  • CDU +2.0average 16.0
  • AfD -2.0average 11.0
  • Linke -0.5average 14.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

Grüne: 38 seatsCDU: 25 seatsSPD: 24 seatsLinke: 20 seatsAfD: 13 seatsFDP: 10 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • Grüne38
  • CDU25
  • SPD24
  • Linke20
  • AfD13
  • FDP10
  • Grüne + CDU + SPD87 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + Linke83 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke82 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + AfD76 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD75 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + FDP73 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP72 of 130
  • Grüne + Linke + AfD71 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + Linke69 of 130
  • Grüne + Linke + FDP68 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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