Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 24 February 2021 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
RBB / Berliner Morgenpost
Fieldwork period
16 to 20 Feb 2021
Respondents
1,007
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne23.0%-3.0
  • CDU22.0%±0
  • SPD18.0%+3.0
  • Linke15.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%-1.0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others7.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 23 Sep 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has Grüne ahead on 23.0%, followed by CDU on 22.0%. 1,007 people were surveyed from 16 to 20 Feb 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RBB / Berliner Morgenpost.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 23 Sep 2020, Grüne loses 3.0 points, SPD gains 3.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 5.0 points higher and AfD 3.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +5.0average 18.0
  • AfD -3.0average 12.0
  • Linke -1.0average 16.0
  • FDP -1.0average 7.0
  • CDU ±0average 22.0
  • SPD ±0average 18.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

Grüne: 32 seatsCDU: 31 seatsSPD: 25 seatsLinke: 21 seatsAfD: 13 seatsFDP: 8 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • Grüne32
  • CDU31
  • SPD25
  • Linke21
  • AfD13
  • FDP8
  • Grüne + CDU + SPD88 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + Linke84 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke78 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + Linke77 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + AfD76 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + FDP71 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD70 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + AfD69 of 130
  • Grüne + Linke + AfD66 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.